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Tue, March 21, 2023 | 10:47
US stocks rally, dollar retreats as Powell shifts tone on rate hikes
Posted : 2022-12-01 08:59
Updated : 2022-12-02 10:01
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institute on Wednesday, Nov. 30, in Washington. AP-Yonhap
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institute on Wednesday, Nov. 30, in Washington. AP-Yonhap

Wall Street stocks soared and the dollar fell Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a shift from the central bank's aggressive policy to counter inflation.

Major U.S. indices, which had been near flat prior to Powell's appearance, suddenly vaulted higher.

The gains came after European bourses also advanced on better inflation data in the eurozone.

"This was the unofficial pivot the markets have been waiting for," Forex.com's Joe Perry said of Powell's comments. "As a result of Powell's dovishness, the US dollar index sold off aggressively."

Powell, appearing at the Brookings Institution in Washington, said the Fed could ease its stance on interest rate hikes "as soon as" December when policymakers are next scheduled to meet.

He added that the full effects of the bank's rapid tightening are yet to be felt.

"Thus, it makes sense to moderate the pace of our rate increases as we approach the level of restraint that will be sufficient to bring inflation down," he said.

But Powell warned that policy will likely still have to remain tight "for some time" to restore price stability.

The Fed has raised the benchmark lending rate by 0.75 percentage point four consecutive times in recent months, out of six times this year, in an aggressive effort to rein in prices.

Major U.S. indices rallied after the remarks, with the Nasdaq leading the way with a 4.4 percent surge.

Seoul shares open sharply higher on Powell remarks
Seoul shares open sharply higher on Powell remarks
2022-12-01 10:13  |  Markets

The dollar also retreated as markets bet on fewer big rate hikes.

Earlier, Paris and Frankfurt both advanced after eurozone inflation eased to 10 percent in November, the first drop in 17 months, according to official data.

Analysts had expected the inflation rate in the single currency area to fall but the drop was steeper than predicted by Bloomberg and FactSet, who foresaw 10.4 percent.

But the November figure may not convince the European Central Bank that it can stop raising interest rates, as its president Christine Lagarde has expressed scepticism that inflation has peaked.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institute on Wednesday, Nov. 30, in Washington. AP-Yonhap
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Nov. 29 in New York City. AFP-Yonhap

As late as Monday, Lagarde warned: "I think that there is too much uncertainty ... to assume that inflation has actually reached its peak. It would surprise me."

The inflation figure was still "extraordinarily high" but offered "hope that inflation may have peaked and the deceleration could be faster than anticipated", said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.

'Intensifying headwinds'

In Asia, stocks mostly rebounded as investors looked past weekend demonstrations in China after officials announced moves aimed at softening the zero-Covid strategy.

But in a sign that the leadership was determined to maintain its authority, the country's top security body called for a "crackdown" against "hostile forces".

New clashes broke out in China's southern city of Guangzhou on Tuesday night and into Wednesday, according to witnesses and social media footage verified by AFP.

Data showing China's factory activity shrank further in November underscored the impact the zero-Covid approach has had on the world's second-biggest economy.

"The headwinds facing China are intensifying and the protests of recent days could make it even more challenging to navigate... Even the best-case scenario is one of significant turbulence," added Erlam. (AFP)




 
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